Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.247821 4.912325 5.612626 6.402438 7.265212 8.175986 9.206991
2024-12-22 3.232121 4.144390 5.170525 6.396686 7.808535 9.370421 11.215927
2024-12-29 2.676072 3.766211 5.064280 6.691619 8.645267 10.884985 13.616046
2025-01-05 2.240477 3.444702 4.956021 6.932626 9.391162 12.293502 15.922729
2025-01-12 1.853486 3.112765 4.775960 7.038654 9.944226 13.463385 17.959622
2025-01-19 1.490449 2.747686 4.497500 6.972281 10.248350 14.311977 19.606610
2025-01-26 1.263115 2.535563 4.390876 7.103381 10.785944 15.443009 21.606392
2025-02-02 1.073998 2.347226 4.289519 7.218992 11.289024 16.526195 23.553682
2025-02-09 0.854626 2.068527 4.020501 7.069419 11.413873 17.109357 24.864366
2025-02-16 0.675816 1.822844 3.769735 6.917547 11.513182 17.644694 26.107471
2025-02-23 0.558625 1.666106 3.639348 6.926534 11.825074 18.456648 27.711931
2025-03-02 0.441312 1.481224 3.438933 6.808607 11.941294 18.997088 28.958791
2025-03-09 0.395259 1.442680 3.490542 7.092922 12.659029 20.386380 31.376742
2025-03-16 0.323903 1.328043 3.393600 7.131633 13.013913 21.282514 33.151530
2025-03-23 0.296222 1.314477 3.480342 7.471753 13.825491 22.826316 35.820138
2025-03-30 0.264351 1.281687 3.525988 7.742791 14.537051 24.239986 38.330192
2025-04-06 0.222782 1.209186 3.485355 7.862652 15.017213 25.331831 40.413363
2025-04-13 0.173084 1.092964 3.341883 7.793702 15.198390 25.996187 41.914318
2025-04-20 0.145976 1.039422 3.321622 7.936476 15.709920 27.138316 44.084447
2025-04-27 0.121839 0.985906 3.294237 8.061834 16.192670 28.241643 46.208701
2025-05-04 0.087620 0.872110 3.116807 7.900774 16.207944 28.659480 47.376549
2025-05-11 0.060934 0.768388 2.945712 7.736987 16.207853 29.048226 48.501750
2025-05-18 0.045688 0.707883 2.869617 7.746762 16.488886 29.853501 50.220778